Home

Trex, Rocket Lab, Boise Cascade, ArcBest, and Carrier Global Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know

TREX Cover Image

What Happened?

A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after concerns about the health of the U.S. economy grew following a significant downward revision of job market data. 

The Labor Department reported that employers added 911,000 fewer jobs from April 2024 through March than initially estimated. These "benchmark revisions" are issued annually to more accurately account for new and defunct businesses. 

The report detailed that the leisure and hospitality sector added 176,000 fewer jobs, professional and business services 158,000 fewer, and retailers 126,000 fewer. This weaker-than-expected data has fueled investor anxiety, as it suggests businesses may be becoming more reluctant to hire amid economic uncertainty. The numbers issued are preliminary, with final revisions scheduled for February 2026. 

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon added that the U.S. economy is "weakening," though he stopped short of predicting a recession. "Whether it's on the way to recession or just weakening, I don't know," he said. Dimon's remarks are closely watched, given his influence as head of one of the nation's largest banks.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.

Among others, the following stocks were impacted:

Zooming In On ArcBest (ARCB)

ArcBest’s shares are quite volatile and have had 18 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 26 days ago when the stock dropped 3.1% on the news that an unexpectedly sharp rise in wholesale inflation fueled concerns about rising costs and their impact on corporate profits. The primary catalyst was the July 2025 Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of inflation at the wholesale level, which jumped 0.9% against forecasts of a 0.2% rise. This represents the most significant monthly increase in over three years, pointing to mounting cost pressures for manufacturers, with tariffs cited as a key factor. This data complicates the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decisions, as persistent inflation may prevent rate cuts, creating a headwind for cyclical sectors like Industrials.

ArcBest is down 23.4% since the beginning of the year, and at $70.44 per share, it is trading 42.2% below its 52-week high of $121.90 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of ArcBest’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $2,118.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.